柠檬花园--加拿大第十山地师 - Part 2

[huangyw1105]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

谢谢楼主提示，找着这里了，呵呵。。。

有个问题，楼主怎知我变12是在4月30日？此信息从何而来？VO告诉的？应该无有如此神通吧？难道未卜先知？惊愕之余，崇敬之意油然而生，还盼柠檬楼主告知，不然睡不好安稳觉矣。。。

 

[lupo]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

谢谢楼主提示，找着这里了，呵呵。。。

有个问题，楼主怎知我变12是在4月30日？此信息从何而来？VO告诉的？应该无有如此神通吧？难道未卜先知？惊愕之余，崇敬之意油然而生，还盼柠檬楼主告知，不然睡不好安稳觉矣。。。

嘿嘿，师长是柯克勃出身

 

[lemon25]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

昨日（2008.7.8）发帖：
89151-87335=1816帖
--- 新记录诞生鸟！

 

[lemon25]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

谢谢楼主提示，找着这里了，呵呵。。。

有个问题，楼主怎知我变12是在4月30日？此信息从何而来？VO告诉的？应该无有如此神通吧？难道未卜先知？惊愕之余，崇敬之意油然而生，还盼柠檬楼主告知，不然睡不好安稳觉矣。。。

呵呵，你自己说的4月底5月初么！俺就蒙了一个4月30日，RR

 

[wgzyl]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

昨日（2008.7.8）发帖：
89151-87335=1816帖
--- 新记录诞生鸟！

我上周五的预测应验。

 

[wgzyl]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

今天将直奔90000！下午3时左右抵达。

 

[cindy汤包]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

昨日（2008.7.8）发帖：
89151-87335=1816帖
--- 新记录诞生鸟！

发现师长是以早上――早上的方式计算的
包包昨天是以晚上24：00――晚上24：00计算的
两种方式，相差巨大啊

 

[cindy汤包]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

呵呵，你自己说的4月底5月初么！俺就蒙了一个4月30日，RR

你个师长！

 

[lemon25]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

我上周五的预测应验。

呵呵，老货架预测的是本周六！RR

发现师长是以早上早上的方式计算的
包包昨天是以晚上24：00晚上24：00计算的
两种方式，相差巨大啊

4D4D,以早啊，各位议员之间的帖子计量

你个师长！

你个包包，给你刷卡！

 

[wgzyl]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

呵呵，老货架预测的是本周六！RR

俺预测的88888本周三达到，差不离！

 

[wgzyl]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

“移民意志号”mission，即将到达第九号行星（虽然已被开除出九大行星），马上就要飞出太阳系了。

 

[cindy汤包]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

俺预测的88888本周三达到，差不离！

谷哥猜想

 

[SallySun2007]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

俺的ME呀，快点子来呀，有点急了的说。

 

[SallySun2007]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

不想上班了，所以就希望ME快点来，嘿嘿！

 

[wgzyl]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

谷哥猜想

谷哥想猜，RR

 

[wgzyl]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

不想上班了，所以就希望ME快点来，嘿嘿！

为一大批ME该来未来的同学们摇旗呐喊！

 

[hanmenglu]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

为一大批ME该来未来的同学们摇旗呐喊！

摇旗！

 

[wgzyl]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

An analysis of the seismic stress changes in China’s Sichuan basin has been published just 8 weeks after a magnitude 7.9 earthquake there killed more than 60,000 people and left millions homeless. The rapid calculation and publication1 brings accurate forecasting of aftershocks a step closer, experts say.

Tom Parsons of the US Geological Survey in Menlo Park, California, and his colleagues describe several large faults in the basin that faced increases in stress as a result of the earthquake’s main shock on 12 May. These fault sections are more likely than others to produce large aftershocks in the near future.

It is still not possible to accurately predict whether and when massive after-quakes might occur, such as the 6.0 aftershock northeast of the original epicentre that killed eight people and destroyed thousands of buildings. But experts say the study shows that it is now feasible to rapidly calculate the propagation of stress in the crust in the immediate aftermath of a major earthquake, even in areas as geologically complex as the Sichuan basin.

Such data could be used to produce large-scale maps of high-risk zones, significantly improving efforts to protect civilians in disaster regions. “We can’t predict earthquakes many scientists think we may never be able to but we can do a lot better than nothing,” says John McCloskey, a geophysicist at the University of Ulster in Colerain, UK.

Current global earthquake hazard maps are too vague to help local emergency planners mitigate risks effectively. So a main goal of earthquake physics is to identify zones of particularly high seismic risk.

McCloskey and his colleagues analysed seismic stress perturbations in the surrounding crust after the devastating 2004 Sumatra earthquake and tsunami2. Using essentially the same methods that Parsons and his team applied in estimating the stress redistribution after the Sichuan rupture, McCloskey’s team successfully forecast the large quake in Sumatra in March 2005 that was triggered by the earlier rupture.

The geology of the Sichuan region is poorly understood and much more complex than the Sumatran zone, making it harder to forecast aftershocks. The seismic history of the region is also unclear. Large earthquakes are much less frequent there every 2,000 to 10,000 years, according to an analysis published this month3 than in Sumatra.

“It is easy to retrospectively explain why an earthquake has happened at a particular place,” McCloskey says. “But prospectively, what Parson and his colleagues have done is the best science we have at the moment.”

McCloskey is setting up a group to systematically analyse changes in seismic stress in the immediate aftermath of future large earthquakes. The goal is to forecast within 12 hours the likelihood of big aftershocks, and map the high-risk ‘red zones’.

摘自自然杂志

 

[lemon25]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

俺的ME呀，快点子来呀，有点急了的说。

不想上班了，所以就希望ME快点来，嘿嘿！

去看看你的颜色变了否？

 

[lemon25]

回复: 2005年北京Case议事大厅~柠檬花园/第十山地师

2008.07.09 柠檬花园董事会成员：
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